Hit Rate Trends

The Hit Rate Trends tool lets you track the engine’s accuracy over time with interactive charts, filterable by date range, stat type, and rating tier. It wraps the same Track Record component available from the sidebar, giving you a dedicated space to analyze engine performance trends.

Note

The app interface is in Spanish. This guide references the actual labels you will see.

Overview

Navigate to “Herramientas” (Tools) in the sidebar and select “Tendencias de Hit Rate” (Hit Rate Trends). The route is /tools/hit-rate-trends.

This page uses the same underlying component as the “Historial” (Track Record) sidebar entry. Whether you access it from Tools or from the sidebar, you get the same data and filters. The page is available to all users.

Filters

A filter bar at the top of the page lets you narrow the data:

Filter	Description
Date range	Start and end date pickers. Defaults to the last 30 days.
Stat	Filter by stat type — Points, Rebounds, Assists, Threes, PRA, or All.
Rating tier	Filter by pick rating — PREMIUM, STANDARD, or All.

Changing any filter immediately updates the chart and summary stats below.

Understanding the Chart

The main visualization is a Chart.js line chart showing daily hit rates over the selected period. The X-axis represents dates and the Y-axis shows hit rate percentage (0-100%).

Key elements on the chart:

• Daily hit rate line — Each data point represents the percentage of picks that hit on that day
• Rolling average — A smoothed trend line showing the moving average over a rolling window, making it easier to spot sustained upswings or downswings
• Reference line — A horizontal line at 55% marks the break-even threshold for standard -110 odds

Below the chart, a summary stats section displays aggregate numbers for the selected filters:

• Total picks evaluated
• Overall hit rate percentage
• Best day and worst day
• Breakdown by stat type if “All” is selected

Language Toggle

A language toggle on the page lets you switch between Spanish and English labels. This affects chart labels and stat names but not the underlying data.

CSV Export

Tip

You can export the filtered hit rate data as a CSV file for your own analysis. Look for the download button near the filter bar. The export includes date, total picks, hits, misses, and hit rate for each day in the selected range.

Tips

Tip

Use the date range filter to compare different stretches of the season. The engine’s accuracy can vary as team rotations stabilize early in the season versus late-season load management periods.

Tip

Filter by stat type to identify which categories the engine predicts most accurately. If the engine consistently hits 65% on assists but only 52% on rebounds, you might weigh assist picks more heavily in your decisions.

Tip

Filter by PREMIUM tier only to see how the highest-rated picks perform. PREMIUM picks are held to a higher standard (score 63 or above) and historically carry a higher hit rate.

This page shows the same data as the Track Record sidebar entry. If you are looking for a quick glance at overall performance, either entry point works — they share the same component and data source.

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Next: explore the Model Builder to customize scoring weights and backtest your own model configurations.